How Investors May Respond To Porsche (XTRA:P911) Weaker China Deliveries and Rising Local Competition

Simply Wall St
  • Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG recently reported its delivery results for the first nine months of 2025, showing 212,509 cars delivered compared to 226,026 in the same period a year earlier.
  • This decrease in deliveries was primarily due to a significant weakness in the Chinese market, highlighting rising competition from local electric vehicle manufacturers and wider challenges for German luxury carmakers globally.
  • We’ll now examine how Porsche’s delivery decline in China shapes its broader investment outlook and future expectations.

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Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche Investment Narrative Recap

Shareholders in Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG need to believe that global demand for luxury electric vehicles and high-margin exclusivity programs will drive margin recovery and offset regional volatility, even as near-term catalysts remain exposed to the persistent weakness in China. The latest delivery figures confirm that China’s slowdown now represents the most immediate risk to Porsche’s revenue and margin outlook; the current news event directly impacts this risk and will likely keep investor focus there, at least in the short term. However, the sustained momentum in North America, highlighted by Porsche Cars North America’s 5.6% year-to-date increase in retail deliveries, demonstrates how regional strengths can partially cushion the business from pressures in its largest international market. By contrast, investors should be aware that sustained demand shifts in China may bring longer-term implications that...

Read the full narrative on Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche (it's free!)

Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche's outlook anticipates €41.7 billion in revenue and €3.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on a 2.4% annual revenue growth rate and a €1.3 billion increase in earnings from the current €2.2 billion level.

Uncover how Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche's forecasts yield a €44.85 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

XTRA:P911 Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community members collectively estimate fair value between €37.82 and €78.09, with 13 individual views represented. While this diversity signals wide opinion on where the share price should be, the recent delivery slump in China underlines why market sentiment may remain cautious and why your own assumptions are critical.

Explore 13 other fair value estimates on Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche - why the stock might be worth as much as 92% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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