Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into HWA AG (ETR:H9W) Stock Yet As It Plummets 29%

XTRA:H9W
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, HWA AG (ETR:H9W) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 63% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about HWA's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Auto industry in Germany is also close to 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for HWA

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:H9W Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024

What Does HWA's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that HWA's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HWA will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For HWA?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like HWA's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 31% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 2.4%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that HWA's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does HWA's P/S Mean For Investors?

HWA's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that HWA currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - HWA has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HWA might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.