The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Grammer AG (ETR:GMM) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Grammer
What Is Grammer's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Grammer had €370.5m of debt in March 2021, down from €442.2m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €62.7m, its net debt is less, at about €307.8m.
A Look At Grammer's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grammer had liabilities of €589.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of €509.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €62.7m in cash and €355.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €681.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €368.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Grammer would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grammer's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Grammer made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to €1.8b, which is a fall of 10%. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Grammer's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost €10m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through €1.6m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Grammer is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About XTRA:GMM
Grammer
Engages in the development, production, and sale of components and systems for automotive interiors worldwide.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.