Stock Analysis

We Think Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd (SHSE:600635) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SHSE:600635
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600635) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd had CN¥8.33b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥9.85b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥3.29b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥5.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600635 Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥8.18b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.99b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥625.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥9.25b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥7.45b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

As it happens Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.9 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! It is well worth noting that Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 33% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 71% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd is not finding it easy, given its net debt to EBITDA, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. It's also worth noting that Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities(Group)Ltd you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.