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Investors Don't See Light At End Of China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:001965) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may consider China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001965) as a highly attractive investment with its 12x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd
Keen to find out how analysts think China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd's Growth Trending?
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.8% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 25% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 7.0% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 39%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:001965
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology HoldingsLtd
China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Good value with proven track record and pays a dividend.