Stock Analysis

HONG RI DA Technology's (SZSE:301285) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

SZSE:301285
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HONG RI DA Technology Company Limited's (SZSE:301285) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for HONG RI DA Technology

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301285 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024

A Closer Look At HONG RI DA Technology's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, HONG RI DA Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥146m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥43.5m. We also note that HONG RI DA Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥146m. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of HONG RI DA Technology.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Unfortunately (in the short term) HONG RI DA Technology saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥14m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect HONG RI DA Technology to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On HONG RI DA Technology's Profit Performance

HONG RI DA Technology saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether HONG RI DA Technology's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing HONG RI DA Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for HONG RI DA Technology you should be aware of.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HONG RI DA Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.