Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Jiangxi Welgao Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301251) With Shares Advancing 28%

Jiangxi Welgao Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301251) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangxi Welgao Electronics' P/S ratio of 5.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Electronic industry in China is also close to 4.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Jiangxi Welgao Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301251 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024
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How Jiangxi Welgao Electronics Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Jiangxi Welgao Electronics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Jiangxi Welgao Electronics will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangxi Welgao Electronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangxi Welgao Electronics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangxi Welgao Electronics' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 11% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Jiangxi Welgao Electronics' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Jiangxi Welgao Electronics revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jiangxi Welgao Electronics (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jiangxi Welgao Electronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:301251

Jiangxi Welgao Electronics

Researches, develops, produces, and sells printed circuit boards in China and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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