Stock Analysis

Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD. (SZSE:300730) Shares May Have Slumped 29% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

SZSE:300730
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Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD. (SZSE:300730) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may still consider Hunan Creator Information Technologies as a stock not worth researching with its 8.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Creator Information Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300730 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024

How Has Hunan Creator Information Technologies Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Hunan Creator Information Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Creator Information Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Hunan Creator Information Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hunan Creator Information Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 36% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hunan Creator Information Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Hunan Creator Information Technologies' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Hunan Creator Information Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hunan Creator Information Technologies you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hunan Creator Information Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hunan Creator Information Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.