Stock Analysis

Beijing Join-Cheer Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002279) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

SZSE:002279
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The Beijing Join-Cheer Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002279) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Beijing Join-Cheer Software's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.9x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Beijing Join-Cheer Software

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002279 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

How Beijing Join-Cheer Software Has Been Performing

Beijing Join-Cheer Software certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Beijing Join-Cheer Software will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Beijing Join-Cheer Software will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Beijing Join-Cheer Software's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 46% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 67% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Beijing Join-Cheer Software's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, Beijing Join-Cheer Software's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Beijing Join-Cheer Software revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Beijing Join-Cheer Software that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Join-Cheer Software might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.