Stock Analysis

Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300118) Shares Fly 47% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

SZSE:300118
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Risen Energy Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300118) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 47% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Risen EnergyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 6.2x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Risen EnergyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300118 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 7th 2024

How Has Risen EnergyLtd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Risen EnergyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Risen EnergyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Risen EnergyLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Risen EnergyLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 68% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 36% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Risen EnergyLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Risen EnergyLtd have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Risen EnergyLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Risen EnergyLtd (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Risen EnergyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.