Improved Revenues Required Before ChemPartner PharmaTech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300149) Stock's 29% Jump Looks Justified
Those holding ChemPartner PharmaTech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300149) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.4x and even P/S higher than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Check out our latest analysis for ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd
What Does ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 31% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 262% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:300149
ChemPartner PharmaTechLtd
Chempartner Pharmatech Co., Ltd. engages in the microecological nutrition and healthcare businesses worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.