Stock Analysis

China Animal Husbandry Industry (SHSE:600195) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SHSE:600195
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China Animal Husbandry Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600195) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for China Animal Husbandry Industry

How Much Debt Does China Animal Husbandry Industry Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, China Animal Husbandry Industry had CN¥1.56b of debt, up from CN¥397.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CN¥1.22b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥343.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600195 Debt to Equity History August 20th 2024

How Healthy Is China Animal Husbandry Industry's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Animal Husbandry Industry had liabilities of CN¥1.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥983.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.22b and CN¥1.47b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥150.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that China Animal Husbandry Industry could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

China Animal Husbandry Industry has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.67. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for China Animal Husbandry Industry if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 36% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Animal Husbandry Industry's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Animal Husbandry Industry saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither China Animal Husbandry Industry's ability to grow its EBIT nor its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that China Animal Husbandry Industry's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for China Animal Husbandry Industry you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.