Stock Analysis

Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300429) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

SZSE:300429
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in the Chemicals industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300429) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300429 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 25th 2024

What Does Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 2.6% gain to the company's revenues. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials' P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Changzhou Tronly New Electronic Materials that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.