Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000949) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000949) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.0% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber
How Xinxiang Chemical Fiber Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Xinxiang Chemical Fiber will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 65% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's P/S?
Despite Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
In line with expectations, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Xinxiang Chemical Fiber that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000949
Xinxiang Chemical Fiber
Produces and sells chemical fiber products in China.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.