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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000663) Shares After Tumbling 25%
Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000663) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Forestry industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd
What Does Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.3%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 11% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Despite the recent share price weakness, Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000663
Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Ltd
Fujian Yongan Forestry(Group)Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet very low.
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