Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On CSG Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000012)

SZSE:000012
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CSG Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000012) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

CSG Holding hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for CSG Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000012 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think CSG Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like CSG Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 62% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that CSG Holding is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From CSG Holding's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that CSG Holding currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for CSG Holding that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CSG Holding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CSG Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.