What Shanghai Smith Adhesive New Material Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603683) 32% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Those holding Shanghai Smith Adhesive New Material Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603683) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 32% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.6% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd
What Does Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.3% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 55% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603683
Shanghai Smith Adhesive New MaterialLtd
Engages in manufacture and sale of various adhesive tapes and adhesives in China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.