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Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600963) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600963) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Forestry industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Yueyang Forest & Paper
What Does Yueyang Forest & Paper's Recent Performance Look Like?
Yueyang Forest & Paper hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Yueyang Forest & Paper's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Yueyang Forest & Paper's Revenue Growth Trending?
Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.9%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 16%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Yueyang Forest & Paper's P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
A look at Yueyang Forest & Paper's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Yueyang Forest & Paper (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600963
Yueyang Forest & Paper
Manufactures and sells cultural, industrial, and packaging paper products in China and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.
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