Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Lingyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600231) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 25%

SHSE:600231
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Lingyuan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600231) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think Lingyuan Iron & Steel is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios above 1.2x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Lingyuan Iron & Steel

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600231 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 20th 2024

How Has Lingyuan Iron & Steel Performed Recently?

For instance, Lingyuan Iron & Steel's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lingyuan Iron & Steel's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lingyuan Iron & Steel's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.2% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.4% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Lingyuan Iron & Steel is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does Lingyuan Iron & Steel's P/S Mean For Investors?

Lingyuan Iron & Steel's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Metals and Mining companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Lingyuan Iron & Steel confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Lingyuan Iron & Steel that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.