Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd (SZSE:002461) Annual Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd (SZSE:002461) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.8% to CN¥10.10 in the week after its latest full-year results. Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery reported CN¥5.7b in revenue, roughly in line with analyst forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.37 beat expectations, being 3.6% higher than what the analysts expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's six analysts is for revenues of CN¥6.08b in 2025. This would reflect a modest 6.1% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 19% to CN¥0.44. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥6.09b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.43 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥11.80, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery at CN¥12.60 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥11.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 6.1% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 7.2% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 10% annually. So although Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.