Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) Earnings

SZSE:002423
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COFCO Capital Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002423) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 40x and even P/E's above 78x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

COFCO Capital Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for COFCO Capital Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002423 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think COFCO Capital Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

COFCO Capital Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. EPS has also lifted 20% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 3.4% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 37%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that COFCO Capital Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that COFCO Capital Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware COFCO Capital Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.