Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Lakala Payment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300773) Shares

SZSE:300773
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.3x in the Diversified Financial industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lakala Payment Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300773) P/S ratio of 2.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Lakala Payment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300773 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 10th 2025

What Does Lakala Payment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Lakala Payment certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. Perhaps the market is expecting its current strong performance to taper off in accordance to the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S contained. Those who are bullish on Lakala Payment will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lakala Payment.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lakala Payment?

Lakala Payment's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.4% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 7.0% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.3% each year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Lakala Payment's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Lakala Payment's P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given that Lakala Payment's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Lakala Payment.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.