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- SHSE:603123
There's Reason For Concern Over Beijing Cuiwei Tower Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603123) Massive 31% Price Jump
Those holding Beijing Cuiwei Tower Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603123) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 32% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Beijing Cuiwei Tower's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Diversified Financial industry in China is also close to 2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Beijing Cuiwei Tower
How Beijing Cuiwei Tower Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Beijing Cuiwei Tower over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Beijing Cuiwei Tower's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Beijing Cuiwei Tower's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beijing Cuiwei Tower would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 48% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 6.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Beijing Cuiwei Tower's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Beijing Cuiwei Tower's P/S?
Beijing Cuiwei Tower appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Beijing Cuiwei Tower revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Beijing Cuiwei Tower that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Beijing Cuiwei Tower's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603123
Beijing Cuiwei Tower
Engages in the operation of department stores in China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.