Stock Analysis

Shenzhen MTC (SZSE:002429) Could Easily Take On More Debt

SZSE:002429
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002429) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen MTC Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen MTC had CN¥5.32b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥5.71b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥4.32b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.00b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002429 Debt to Equity History March 21st 2025

How Strong Is Shenzhen MTC's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shenzhen MTC had liabilities of CN¥9.28b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.87b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.32b in cash and CN¥10.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥934.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shenzhen MTC could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen MTC

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shenzhen MTC's net debt is only 0.38 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 52.0 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Shenzhen MTC grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen MTC's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Shenzhen MTC produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Shenzhen MTC's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Shenzhen MTC is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen MTC you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.