Stock Analysis

Shenzhen MTC Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002429) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

SZSE:002429
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Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen MTC's (SZSE:002429) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. Specifically, we decided to study Shenzhen MTC's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen MTC

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen MTC is:

11% = CN¥1.8b ÷ CN¥16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen MTC's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To begin with, Shenzhen MTC seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.3%. Despite the moderate return on equity, Shenzhen MTC has posted a net income growth of 2.5% over the past five years. A few likely reasons that could be keeping earnings growth low are - the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

We then compared Shenzhen MTC's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 8.1% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002429 Past Earnings Growth November 15th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Shenzhen MTC fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shenzhen MTC Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 29% (implying that the company retains the remaining 71% of its income), Shenzhen MTC's earnings growth was quite low. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, Shenzhen MTC has paid dividends over a period of nine years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Shenzhen MTC certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.