Stock Analysis

The five-year underlying earnings growth at Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai (SZSE:000651) is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time

SZSE:000651
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In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai (SZSE:000651), since the last five years saw the share price fall 30%.

After losing 6.0% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

View our latest analysis for Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

While the share price declined over five years, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 4.4% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.

The most recent dividend was actually lower than it was in the past, so that may have sent the share price lower.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000651 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2025

Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

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What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai's TSR for the last 5 years was -4.7%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai shareholders are up 15% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 0.9% per year, over five years. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Gree Electric Appliances of Zhuhai .

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.