Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300631) Price

SZSE:300631
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JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300631) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

The earnings growth achieved at JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300631 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 24% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 43% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.