Stock Analysis

CSD Water Service Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603903) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

SHSE:603903
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Most readers would already be aware that CSD Water Service's (SHSE:603903) stock increased significantly by 49% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to CSD Water Service's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for CSD Water Service

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CSD Water Service is:

4.3% = CN¥75m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.04.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

CSD Water Service's Earnings Growth And 4.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that CSD Water Service's ROE is much good in and of itself. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 5.1%. CSD Water Service's flat earnings over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared CSD Water Service's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 1.6% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603903 Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if CSD Water Service is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is CSD Water Service Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 32% (meaning the company retains68% of profits) in the last three-year period, CSD Water Service's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, CSD Water Service has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by CSD Water Service can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into CSD Water Service's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.