Stock Analysis

Hualan Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301027) 26% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

SZSE:301027
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Hualan Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301027) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 43% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies operating in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may still consider Hualan Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Hualan Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301027 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 22nd 2024

What Does Hualan Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hualan Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hualan Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hualan Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hualan Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hualan Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Hualan Group's P/S

Despite the recent share price weakness, Hualan Group's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Hualan Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Hualan Group (3 don't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hualan Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hualan Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.