Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300985) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's (SZSE:300985) stock is up by a considerable 10% over the past week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's ROE.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
View our latest analysis for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment is:
7.5% = CN¥91m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
A Side By Side comparison of Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's Earnings Growth And 7.5% ROE
When you first look at it, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.3%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 27%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.
That being said, we compared Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 7.4% in the same 5-year period.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 40% (that is, a retention ratio of 60%), the fact that Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Additionally, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment has paid dividends over a period of three years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.
Conclusion
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 4 risks we have identified for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment visit our risks dashboard for free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300985
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment
Research and development, production, and sale of vehicle-mounted liquefied natural gas (LNG) gas supply systems and marine LNG fuel gas supply systems in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet slight.