Stock Analysis

Is Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology Corp., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300581) Stock On A Downtrend As A Result Of Its Poor Financials?

SZSE:300581
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With its stock down 17% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology (SZSE:300581). To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology is:

1.4% = CN¥14m ÷ CN¥1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.01 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's Earnings Growth And 1.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.1%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 37% seen by Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 13% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300581 Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 88% (implying that 12% of the profits are retained), most of Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology.

Additionally, Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Conclusion

On the whole, Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. To gain further insights into Xi'an ChenXi Aviation Technology's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.