Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002965) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002965) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 26% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Lucky Harvest may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 69x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Lucky Harvest has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Lucky Harvest
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lucky Harvest will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Lucky Harvest's Growth Trending?
Lucky Harvest's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 9.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 202% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 38% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Lucky Harvest is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Lucky Harvest's P/E?
Despite Lucky Harvest's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Lucky Harvest maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Lucky Harvest is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002965
Lucky Harvest
Engages in the research, development, production, and sale of precision stamping dies and structural metal parts in China.
Flawless balance sheet and fair value.