Stock Analysis

We're Not Very Worried About Kairuide HoldingLtd's (SZSE:002072) Cash Burn Rate

SZSE:002072
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Kairuide HoldingLtd (SZSE:002072) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for Kairuide HoldingLtd

When Might Kairuide HoldingLtd Run Out Of Money?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at September 2023, Kairuide HoldingLtd had cash of CN¥16m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥13m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 15 months from September 2023. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002072 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024

How Well Is Kairuide HoldingLtd Growing?

Kairuide HoldingLtd managed to reduce its cash burn by 81% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue dropped 16% during the same time frame. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Kairuide HoldingLtd has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Hard Would It Be For Kairuide HoldingLtd To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Kairuide HoldingLtd seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥1.3b, Kairuide HoldingLtd's CN¥13m in cash burn equates to about 1.0% of its market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is Kairuide HoldingLtd's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Kairuide HoldingLtd's cash burn, we think its cash burn reduction was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kairuide HoldingLtd that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.