Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine Incorporated Company (SHSE:603819) With Shares Advancing 25%

SHSE:603819
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Those holding Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine Incorporated Company (SHSE:603819) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 10% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electrical industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603819 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024

How Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine Has Been Performing

For instance, Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Changzhou Shenli Electrical Machine you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.