Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing (SHSE:600416) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:600416
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (SHSE:600416) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing

What Is Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing had debt of CN¥2.49b, up from CN¥2.17b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.66b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥830.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600416 Debt to Equity History October 31st 2024

A Look At Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing had liabilities of CN¥5.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.22b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.66b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.08b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥192.1m.

This state of affairs indicates that Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥17.0b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 35% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.