There's Reason For Concern Over Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301550) Massive 26% Price Jump
Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301550) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 253% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 36x, you may consider Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing as a stock to avoid entirely with its 62.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company can turn things around and break free from the broader downward trend in earnings. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 32% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 37%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing's P/E
Shares in Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Sling Automobile Bearing might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.