- China
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- Auto Components
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- SZSE:002355
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002355) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002355) shares have retraced a considerable 28% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 14% in the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may still consider Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) as a stock not worth researching with its 4.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)
What Does Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.3% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 51% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s P/S
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)'s shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002355
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group)
Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.