Stock Analysis
AIMA Technology Group CO., LTD (SHSE:603529) Surges 30% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Despite an already strong run, AIMA Technology Group CO., LTD (SHSE:603529) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 60% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, AIMA Technology Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.9x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 38x and even P/E's higher than 74x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, AIMA Technology Group has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for AIMA Technology Group
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In order to justify its P/E ratio, AIMA Technology Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.8%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 178% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 21% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why AIMA Technology Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Despite AIMA Technology Group's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that AIMA Technology Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for AIMA Technology Group that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603529
AIMA Technology Group
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of electric bicycles, mopeds, and motorcycles in China and internationally.