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Sailun Group's (SHSE:601058) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
Sailun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601058) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
View our latest analysis for Sailun Group
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Sailun Group increased the number of shares on issue by 5.6% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Sailun Group's EPS by clicking here.
How Is Dilution Impacting Sailun Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
As you can see above, Sailun Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 226% over three years. But EPS was only up 172% per year, in the exact same period. And the 88% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 81% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So Sailun Group shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Sailun Group's Profit Performance
Sailun Group shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Sailun Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Sailun Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sailun Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601058
Sailun Group
Engages in the research and development, production, sale, and servicing of tires in China, Europe, the United States, Asia, and Africa.