Stock Analysis

Colbún (SNSE:COLBUN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SNSE:COLBUN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Colbún S.A. (SNSE:COLBUN) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Colbún

How Much Debt Does Colbún Carry?

As you can see below, Colbún had US$1.63b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.79b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$151.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:COLBUN Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2022

A Look At Colbún's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Colbún had liabilities of US$571.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.65b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.79b in cash and US$272.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.16b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$1.43b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Colbún's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Colbún also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Importantly, Colbún's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 48% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Colbún's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Colbún may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Colbún actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

Although Colbún's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$151.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 106% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$230m. So while Colbún does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Colbún you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.