Stock Analysis

Hipermarc (SNSE:HIPERMARC) Has No Shortage Of Debt

SNSE:HIPERMARC
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hipermarc S.A. (SNSE:HIPERMARC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Hipermarc Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hipermarc had CL$11.8b of debt in September 2020, down from CL$13.4b, one year before. However, it also had CL$1.95b in cash, and so its net debt is CL$9.81b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:HIPERMARC Debt to Equity History January 4th 2021

How Healthy Is Hipermarc's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hipermarc had liabilities of CL$4.96b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CL$18.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CL$1.95b in cash and CL$16.9b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CL$5.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CL$4.54b, we think shareholders really should watch Hipermarc's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.3 hit our confidence in Hipermarc like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Hipermarc's EBIT was down 36% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hipermarc will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Hipermarc recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Hipermarc's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Hipermarc has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hipermarc that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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