With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x Kuehne + Nagel International AG (VTX:KNIN) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Kuehne + Nagel International could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Kuehne + Nagel International
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Kuehne + Nagel International's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 59% decline in EPS over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.7% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kuehne + Nagel International's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Kuehne + Nagel International's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Kuehne + Nagel International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Kuehne + Nagel International that you need to be mindful of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Kuehne + Nagel International. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Discover if Kuehne + Nagel International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.