Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Swiss Estates AG (BRN:SEAN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Swiss Estates
How Much Debt Does Swiss Estates Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Swiss Estates had CHF123.0m of debt, up from CHF116.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Strong Is Swiss Estates' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Swiss Estates had liabilities of CHF8.53m due within a year, and liabilities of CHF126.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CHF88.1k in cash and CHF3.07m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CHF132.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CHF11.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Swiss Estates would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Swiss Estates shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (33.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.7 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, Swiss Estates boosted its EBIT by a silky 53% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Swiss Estates can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Swiss Estates recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
To be frank both Swiss Estates's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Swiss Estates's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Swiss Estates has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BRSE:SEAN
Swiss Estates
Engages in investing in the real estate properties in Switzerland.