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Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over TX Group AG's (VTX:TXGN) P/S Ratio
TX Group AG's (VTX:TXGN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Media industry in Switzerland have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
View our latest analysis for TX Group
What Does TX Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at TX Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TX Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For TX Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, TX Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.7% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.1% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 2.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that TX Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On TX Group's P/S
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of TX Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with TX Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TX Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:TXGN
TX Group
Operates a network of platforms and participations that provides users with information, orientation, entertainment, and other services in Switzerland.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.
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