Earnings Beat: Schindler Holding AG Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Investors in Schindler Holding AG (VTX:SCHN) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.3% to close at CHF285 following the release of its quarterly results. The result was positive overall - although revenues of CHF2.7b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Schindler Holding surprised by delivering a statutory profit of CHF2.26 per share, modestly greater than expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Taking into account the latest results, Schindler Holding's 17 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be CHF11.4b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 5.0% to CHF9.53. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CHF11.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CHF9.57 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Schindler Holding

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CHF286, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on Schindler Holding, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CHF330 and the most bearish at CHF248 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Schindler Holding'shistorical trends, as the 1.1% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 1.1% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 5.1% per year. So although Schindler Holding is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's forecast to grow slower than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Schindler Holding's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CHF286, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Schindler Holding going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.