Stock Analysis

Shareholders Should Be Pleased With OC Oerlikon Corporation AG's (VTX:OERL) Price

SWX:OERL
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OC Oerlikon Corporation AG's (VTX:OERL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 21x and even P/E's below 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, OC Oerlikon's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for OC Oerlikon

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:OERL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on OC Oerlikon.

Is There Enough Growth For OC Oerlikon?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, OC Oerlikon would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 63% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 4.5% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 54% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 12% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why OC Oerlikon is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From OC Oerlikon's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of OC Oerlikon's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for OC Oerlikon (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of OC Oerlikon's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.