Implenia AG's (VTX:IMPN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.6x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 20x and even P/E's above 31x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Implenia's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Implenia
How Is Implenia's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Implenia's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 3.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.2% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Implenia is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Implenia's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Having said that, be aware Implenia is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Implenia. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:IMPN
Implenia
Provides construction and real estate services in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Norway, Sweden, France, and internationally.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.
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