Stock Analysis

We Think Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TSX:SPB
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Superior Plus

What Is Superior Plus's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Superior Plus had CA$1.67b of debt, an increase on CA$1.27b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CA$57.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$1.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:SPB Debt to Equity History September 27th 2022

How Strong Is Superior Plus' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Superior Plus had liabilities of CA$446.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$2.02b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$57.4m as well as receivables valued at CA$239.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$2.17b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CA$2.00b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Superior Plus shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.0 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Superior Plus actually let its EBIT decrease by 6.6% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Superior Plus can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Superior Plus actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

To be frank both Superior Plus's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We should also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like Superior Plus commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Superior Plus stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Superior Plus has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.