Superior Plus Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Superior Plus is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 65% and 8.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 70.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.8% in 3 years.

Key information

65.0%

Earnings growth rate

70.9%

EPS growth rate

Gas Utilities earnings growth	12.0%
Revenue growth rate	8.6%
Future return on equity	5.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	09 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:SPB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,887	87	N/A	374	3
12/31/2025	2,770	91	134	355	7
12/31/2024	2,511	31	246	343	7
9/30/2024	2,405	16	92	279	N/A
6/30/2024	2,409	-1	138	309	N/A
3/31/2024	2,446	16	130	294	N/A
12/31/2023	2,531	39	264	415	N/A
9/30/2023	2,548	27	294	404	N/A
6/30/2023	2,555	-47	256	357	N/A
3/31/2023	2,562	-80	255	353	N/A
12/31/2022	2,496	-83	97	184	N/A
9/30/2022	2,269	-110	67	159	N/A
6/30/2022	2,320	15	89	177	N/A
3/31/2022	2,178	53	104	182	N/A
12/31/2021	1,892	-5	100	183	N/A
9/30/2021	1,681	45	145	234	N/A
6/30/2021	1,632	55	179	256	N/A
3/31/2021	1,563	90	231	319	N/A
12/31/2020	1,420	40	192	283	N/A
9/30/2020	1,551	33	219	299	N/A
6/30/2020	1,664	12	200	309	N/A
3/31/2020	1,776	-9	177	281	N/A
12/31/2019	2,197	110	221	326	N/A
9/30/2019	2,211	15	166	269	N/A
6/30/2019	2,261	30	141	230	N/A
3/31/2019	2,169	58	151	235	N/A
12/31/2018	2,006	-25	115	193	N/A
9/30/2018	2,019	46	152	217	N/A
6/30/2018	1,972	-19	N/A	222	N/A
3/31/2018	2,004	-28	N/A	124	N/A
12/31/2017	1,897	-22	N/A	146	N/A
9/30/2017	1,762	-77	N/A	110	N/A
6/30/2017	1,668	63	N/A	131	N/A
3/31/2017	1,606	51	N/A	109	N/A
12/31/2016	1,507	85	N/A	109	N/A
9/30/2016	1,515	120	N/A	116	N/A
6/30/2016	1,564	43	N/A	164	N/A
3/31/2016	1,419	77	N/A	182	N/A
12/31/2015	1,624	-6	N/A	188	N/A
9/30/2015	1,989	11	N/A	203	N/A
6/30/2015	2,431	16	N/A	199	N/A
3/31/2015	2,898	-2	N/A	240	N/A
12/31/2014	3,433	49	N/A	205	N/A
9/30/2014	3,626	22	N/A	162	N/A
6/30/2014	3,775	96	N/A	154	N/A
3/31/2014	3,815	82	N/A	128	N/A
12/31/2013	3,533	50	N/A	174	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SPB's forecast earnings growth (65% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: SPB's earnings (65% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SPB's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SPB's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (7.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SPB's revenue (8.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SPB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.8%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 14:37
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Superior Plus Corp. is covered by 15 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Nathan Heywood	ATB Capital Markets
John Gibson	BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
John Bereznicki	Canaccord Genuity

Superior Plus Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 8.4% to CA$8.95

Price target decreased by 7.2% to CA$9.36

Price target decreased by 12% to CA$10.59

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 44%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Recent updates

Independent Chairman recently bought CA$156k worth of stock

Superior Plus' (TSE:SPB) Dividend Will Be Reduced To $0.045

Independent Director recently bought CA$637k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 8.4% to CA$8.95

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Third quarter dividend of CA$0.045 announced

Price target decreased by 7.2% to CA$9.36

Investors Aren't Buying Superior Plus Corp.'s (TSE:SPB) Revenues

Superior Plus Corp. Declares Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 15, 2025

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 06, 2024

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.18 per share

Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.18

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 12% to CA$10.59

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 44%

Superior Plus Corp. Declares Dividend for the Third Quarter of 2024, Payable on October 15, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB)?

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 13, 2024

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Departure of Curtis Philippon as Executive Vice President, Superior Plus and President, Certarus

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 47%

First quarter dividend of CA$0.18 announced

Superior Plus Corp. Declares Dividend for the Second Quarter of 2024, Payable on July 15, 2024

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 14, 2024

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.18 per share

CEO, President & Director recently bought CA$501k worth of stock

New minor risk - Earnings quality

Dividend of CA$0.18 announced

Superior Plus Corp., Annual General Meeting, May 14, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Superior Plus Declares 2024 First Quarter Dividend, Payable on April 15, 2024

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2024

Investors Aren't Buying Superior Plus Corp.'s (TSE:SPB) Revenues

Is Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Using Too Much Debt?

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.18 per share at 7.5% yield

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Superior Plus Corp. Approves Quarterly Dividend, Payable on January 15, 2024

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 07, 2023

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.18 per share at 6.7% yield

Independent Director recently bought CA$694k worth of stock

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Appointment of Jennifer Grigsby to Board of Directors, Member of the Audit Committee and the Health, Safety and Environment Committee

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Superior Plus Corp. Declares Third Quarter Dividend, Payable on October 16, 2023

Are Investors Undervaluing Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB) By 43%?

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: CA$0.21 loss per share (vs CA$0.46 loss in 2Q 2022)

CEO, President & Director recently bought CA$939k worth of stock

Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.18 per share at 7.6% yield

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Executive VP & CFO recently bought CA$50k worth of stock

Superior Plus Corp. (TSX:SPB) completed the acquisition of Certarus ltd.

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.06 per share at 6.6% yield

Superior Plus' (TSE:SPB) Dividend Will Be CA$0.06

Insider recently bought CA$82k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.06 per share at 6.8% yield

Superior Plus Corp. (TSX:SPB) acquired Acme Propane Gas Co., Inc for $3.3 million.

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Management Appointments

Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of CA$0.06

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Cash Dividend for the Month of February 2023, Payable on March 15, 2023

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.06 per share

Superior Plus (TSE:SPB) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.06

Superior Plus Corp. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 16, 2023

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Cash Dividend for the Month of January 2023, Payable on February 15, 2023

Superior Plus Corp. Announces Passing of Board Member Mr. Richard Bradeen