Stock Analysis

At CA$157, Is TFI International Inc. (TSE:TFII) Worth Looking At Closely?

TSX:TFII
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TFI International Inc. (TSE:TFII), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the TSX, rising to highs of CA$187 and falling to the lows of CA$147. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether TFI International's current trading price of CA$157 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TFI International’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for TFI International

Is TFI International Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 18.55x is currently trading in-line with its industry peers’ ratio, which means if you buy TFI International today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that TFI International’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will TFI International generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:TFII Earnings and Revenue Growth December 10th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. TFI International's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 26%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in TFII’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at TFII? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TFII, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for TFII, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about TFI International as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with TFI International, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in TFI International, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.